Latest news in Research and Markets

Canada U.S.

Trump’s 25% tariff will hurt both Canada, U.S., Canadian leaders say

Tariffs to remain in place until Canada, Mexico stop drugs, people from illegally crossing borders, Trump says

Retail sales

Government handouts to boost growth: Desjardins

Economic wisdom on GST holiday, rebates is questionable, economists say

Inauguration Day Washington DC

U.S. policy uncertainty clouds sovereign outlook

Tax cuts, tariffs, immigration policy poses risk to economic, credit conditions: Fitch

Man moving stack of coins to growing stack of coing. Concept of investment income growth.

Fund sales rise, driving asset gains: IFIC

Bond mutual fund sales increase, equity funds power ETF net sales

Economic growth

Markets more liquid, but increasingly fragile

Research suggests looking to FX markets for solutions

Credit card

Credit card performance stable in Q3: Fitch

Delinquencies, charge-off rates largely stable, despite financial stresses

Yellow down arrows over a financial graph

U.S. will enter a recession in 2025: BCA Research

S&P 500 will fall to 4,100, Canada will also see a recession, Peter Berezin forecasts

  • By: Kevin Press
  • November 22, 2024 November 22, 2024
  • 12:55
Household debt burden

Average 30-year mortgage rate in the U.S. rises to highest level since July

Economists predict that U.S. mortgage rates will hover around 6% in 2025

Magnifying glass

Japan passes $250B economic package

The broad plan is meant to lift wages, spur growth in the world's fourth largest economy

crypto

Bitcoin ticks closer to US$100,000 following U.S. elections

The surge comes just two years after the collapse of crypto exchange FTX

China flag

Tariff hikes will backfire, China can manage such ‘external shocks’: senior official

China's total foreign trade from January to October is up about 5% from a year ago, Wang noted

arrows

Retail sales were up 0.4% in September: StatCan

The agency says the boost was driven by food, beverage sales

Advisor tracking stocks

OTC derivatives rise in first half: BIS

Growth was concentrated in smaller market segments, interest rate derivatives flat

This picture says the development of economy, successful, and achievement

OECD growth edges higher in third quarter

Resilient U.S. economy continues to lead the G7, France enjoys Olympics boost

Commodity prices to rise in 2025: Orchard

Chinese government stimulus expected to contribute further inflationary pressure

  • By: Kevin Press
  • November 21, 2024 November 21, 2024
  • 12:36
Japan credit card

Japan records a trade deficit in October for a 4th straight month

Weak yen and rising energy prices keeps import costs high

U.K. inflation

U.K. inflation rises to six-month high in October

Expectations for further rate cuts this year disappear in face of higher energy bills

volatility

Financial stability risks still high, ECB warns

System remains fragile as growth slows, geopolitical uncertainty rises

Credit card

As rates fall, household debt growth ramps up

Mortgages, credit card balances grow faster in September: StatCan

Wooden blocks with percentage sign and arrow up, financial growth, interest rate increase, inflation concept

Canada’s inflation rate ticks back up to 2%: StatCan

The rate is now back to the Bank of Canada's target

ESG growth

Responsible investments grew in market share, value in 2023: report

Rising confidence in ESG reporting, climate change concerns fuelled the growth

Personal finances

AI, energy transition to drive higher capex: Fitch

Corporate spending expectations up significantly from previous forecast

man on dollar

Canadian dollar weakness to persist into 2025, expert says

The loonie is lower than it's been since the early days of the pandemic

A man looks through a magnifying glass

CPP Investments earned 3.6% return in Q2

Net assets rose to $675.1 billion in the quarter

House for sale

National home sales surge in October: CREA

The increase was likely related to the previous month's supply bump: economist