Today’s latest earnings restatement by insurance giant American International Group Inc. is a modestly negative development, according to Fitch Ratings.
The rating agency says that the it believes this represents an indication that the company has not yet fully emerged from the period of uncertainty related to accounting and governance issues that first came to light in February. Fitch’s ratings on AIG and affiliates remain on Rating Watch Negative.
“Today’s announcement discloses the need to correct certain errors that were mostly identified during the remediation of previously disclosed material weaknesses in internal controls,” it notes. “The errors relate primarily to accounting for derivative and related assets and liabilities … reconciliation of certain balance sheet accounts, and income tax accounting.” These corrections will require AIG to restate previously issued financial statements and delay the filing of its third quarter results.
Fitch also says it sees several near-term uncertainties as material and supportive of the current Rating Watch Negative status, including: the financial effect of civil litigation filed in May by the New York Attorney General and New York Superintendent of Insurance, the magnitude of potential litigation costs from various lawsuits that have been filed, the resolution of ongoing investigations by numerous regulators and governmental authorities, results of the independent actuarial review of loss reserves, and remediation of material weaknesses cited in the auditor’s opinion. Fitch expects to address the Rating Watch when some or all of these uncertainties are resolved or reasonably estimated.
The rating agency also believes that AIG and its subsidiaries also face longer term uncertainties. These include tangible evidence of how recent developments, including rating downgrades, have affected AIG’s franchise, competitive position, and future financial performance; resolution of the relationship between AIG and Starr entities; the evolution of ceded reinsurance strategies and how that may affect future operating results; subsidiary capitalization strategies; and broader potential changes in management strategies.
“AIG’s ratings reflect the company’s pre-eminent global insurance organization, with excellent worldwide brands and franchises, and strong operating results,” it concludes. “Fitch also views very favorably the diversified nature of the organization’s products, distribution systems, and geographic reach. This diversification has contributed to AIG’s ability to generate stable and predictable historical operating results.”
AIG to restate earnings, again
Insurance giant facing long-term uncertainties
- By: James Langton
- November 9, 2005 November 9, 2005
- 15:50