Moody’s liquidity-stress Indicator edges higher in May

Energy, telecom and agricultural products companies accounted for most of the downgrades

Corporate liquidity declined marginally in May, according to the Moody’s Investors Service’s liquidity-stress indicator (LSI) published on Thursday.

Moody’s LSI came in at 2.7% in May, up slightly from 2.5% in April. The indicator rises when corporate liquidity appears to weaken, and declines when liquidity improves.

“The LSI has been hovering around historic lows — below 3% — for the past eight months,” says John Puchalla, senior vice president at Moody’s, in a statement. “The consistent strength in the LSI signals healthy liquidity and low default risk for most spec-grade borrowers, with benefits from solid earnings and cash flow on the back of a growing U.S. economy.”

Liquidity downgrades outpaced upgrades by a margin of six to four in May, Moody’s says. A mix of energy, telecom and agricultural products companies accounted for most of the downgrades.

Speculative-grade liquidity downgrades outnumbered upgrades by a margin of 10 to three.

“In some instances, growth-related investments were a contributing factor to the downgrades, and this would be more worrisome if capital market access was weaker, since that might cut off a company’s ability to fund the investments,” says Puchalla.